The Presidency
I've told my friends that GW Bush is going to win big. I have no data to support this conclusion other than my sincere belief that the American people would never vote out a War-Time President.
There are other factors as well. Many a pundit has tried to compare this Presidency to his father's rule back in 1992. This is a mistake. GH Bush lost his reelection bid because he raised taxes. GW has not done this and in fact has cut taxes. Also, GH had a spoiler to ruin his chances of a second term, mainly the phantom Ross Perot. This split the vote for GH enough to allow the creep from Arkansas to "seize" the throne. Finally, the biggest and perhaps most important factor contributing to a Bush victory this year, is the 9/11 attack. This is an unknown quantity that has the effect of a force mulitplyer to change the course of politics for generations to come. And GW is riding the crest of that wave.
Kerry, on the other hand, is stuck on the beach with a sunburn.
There are other factors as well. Many a pundit has tried to compare this Presidency to his father's rule back in 1992. This is a mistake. GH Bush lost his reelection bid because he raised taxes. GW has not done this and in fact has cut taxes. Also, GH had a spoiler to ruin his chances of a second term, mainly the phantom Ross Perot. This split the vote for GH enough to allow the creep from Arkansas to "seize" the throne. Finally, the biggest and perhaps most important factor contributing to a Bush victory this year, is the 9/11 attack. This is an unknown quantity that has the effect of a force mulitplyer to change the course of politics for generations to come. And GW is riding the crest of that wave.
Kerry, on the other hand, is stuck on the beach with a sunburn.
posted by Bruce R. McConnell | 9:24 PM
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