X-MARINE

He who studies history shall know the future for all things come full circle.

Friday, December 30, 2005

Mosque-va?

As I have written before regarding Russia and her strategic goals in the Middle East, it would appear that Moscow is playing a game of Russian Roulette. While she arms Iran with nuclear technology in an attempt to play Persia against the West, Russia may come to regret that she opened up the bottle to the nuclear genie that is now growing in size and power in Tehran.

From the Jersusalem Post:

Russia has no interest in Iran obtaining nuclear weapons, as Moscow does not want a radical, Islamic nuclear power on its doorstep, a high-ranking Russian diplomat in the Middle East told The Jerusalem Post this week.

On Wednesday, Iran rejected a Russian proposal to move Iran's uranium enrichment production to Russia to resolve the standoff over Teheran's nuclear program.

Moscow had made the offer to Teheran "so it would be able to supervise the process of uranium enrichment and the use of that material," said the diplomat. "Living in such close proximity to Iran, Russia is not at all interested in Iran having atomic bombs at its disposal."

Well, they may be saying that but their actions speak louder than their words. Clearly there is a Russian clandestine operation to arm the Iranians before American armed forces move against this Persian state. Many secrets would be revealed to us if the Persian capital fell to our army and marine infantry and armored divisions as they conquered the administrative, political, and financial capital of Iran.

the article continues:

Moscow, a longstanding ally of Iran, was caught by surprise at Iran's harsh position and unwillingness even to discuss the proposal, the Russian diplomat said.

Some Russian analysts believe that this incident will seriously damage Russia's reputation as an effective mediator between the ayatollah's regime and the E3.

According to the diplomat, even within the Russian administration there is no united position towards Iran.

The ministry of defense and the ministry of nuclear energy consider Iran to be one of Russia's most important strategic partners, whereas in Vladimir Putin's office the attitude toward Iran is much more ambivalent and complex.


Over the past few months, several voices from the Duma (Russian parliament) alerting to Iran's possible threat to Russian security were heard, but Moscow continues to back Iran, vetoing the E3 decision to pass the Iranian nuclear file to UN Security Council.

I believe 2006 may see a possible outbreak of hostilities between America and Iran over their nuclear gamble. Iran continues to confidentally oppose American initiative in the Gulf and Mesopotamian region and this could only mean that she must have been given great assurances from Russia to hold steady and move forward against the United States and Israel. What assurances could they be? Perhaps with Russian assistance they are already enriching uranium and have already arrived at the point that the Iranians can field an operational atomic bomb. Or, the other assurance could be in the form of political aid at the United Nations and extra conventional weapons sales to thrwart a US conventional invasion of their country. Either way, it does no bode well for the future.

the article continues again:

The position Moscow must take is a precarious one. Any serious concessions in this area would be considered as giving in to US pressure and would bring about a serious cooling in relations with the Iranian government. On the other hand, too much enthusiasm in defending Iran's nuclear program could threaten US-Russian relations.

Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's spokesman Ra'anan Gissin welcomed the Russian diplomat's comments, but said they should be backed up by actions.

He said that Russia should work with the European Union and the United States to bring Iran to the UN Security Council so that there would be a meaningful threat of applying "real sanctions" against Iran.

Gissin said that, until now, Russia has prevented effective use of the Security Council and sanctions. "Russia makes declarations, but these declarations must be translated into real action," he added.

Since Teheran's rejection of the offer, Moscow has kept mum on its future steps on this issue. During an interview to the daily Izvestia newspaper in Moscow, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov declared that "Russia continues to monitor the situation in Iran very carefully. Currently we do not have any evidence that will show that Iran is in violation of the regime of non-proliferation."

It is my contention, although shared by others, that World War One was started essentially by Russia to show solidarity with her slavic brothers in Serbia when they were accused of agitating revolution and terrorism against the Austro-Hungarian Empire when the Arch-Duke was assassinated in Sarajevo in August of 1914. Serbia was ready to bow to Austo-Hungarian demands for retribution against the terrorists/anarchists forces operating in their territory when Russia demanded that the Serbs not cave-in and stand up against the emporer. As a result the old empire moblized their armies to crush the Serbian rebellian but Russia moblized her armies across the Austro-Hungarian border as well. With millions of moblized Russian troops threatening Vienna, this in turn alarmed Berlin and they moblized their forces to counter. With Paris aligned with Moscow against Berlin, there would be no backing down. Thus began the Great War.

The article goes on:

"Unfortunately, some countries tend to use the Iranian card in a political context which is completely irrelevant to the main issue," said Lavrov, adding, "This is a very dangerous tendency, since the problem of WMD non-proliferation is too important to turn it into a hostage of some internal political campaign."

Iran has already produced 40 tons of UF6, a compound used in the uranium enrichment process that produces fuel for nuclear reactors and nuclear weapons, Mossad chief Meir Dagan said Tuesday. That amount of UF6 could produce 40 kg. of fissile material.

Iran is also continuing to "build and enhance" centrifuges, which are part of its nuclear program, Dagan added. The Mossad believes that Teheran is but six months away from achieving technological independence in its quest to develop a nuclear bomb.

Russia's traditional brinkmanship around the edges of their political sphere of influence in the past have resulted in two world wars and in both cases had the effect of creating a tsunami-like tidal wave come crashing upon them with devastating effect resulting in millions of Russians perishing either on the frontlines of war or by political upheaval so extreme that it destroyed the old fabric of Russian life that existed for hundreds of years. Russian international brinkmanship nearly wrought a third world war in Western Europe during the understated Cold War from 1945 - 1989, the consequences of which we wish not to phathom.

Nuclear Islam is the next great threat of international peace and with Russia playing both sides, the Christo -Hellenic West against Oriental Islam, it thinks it can manufacture crisis' to their geopolitical advantage. Perhaps this is the way it has always been except today, the ramifications are that much greater with the advent of the A-bomb. What will be the fortunes the 21'st Century shall bring to us?

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